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Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Roma logo

Bologna
1 - 5
Roma

Cristante (24' og.)
Soriano (53'), Vignato (63'), Mihajlovic (64'), Baldursson (78'), Dominguez (89')
FT(HT: 1-5)
Poli (5' og.), Dzeko (10'), Pellegrini (15'), Veretout (35'), Mkhitaryan (44')
Veretout (43'), Ibanez (49')

Preview: Bologna vs. Roma - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Roma make the trip to the Renato Dall'Ara Stadium to face Bologna looking to end a two-match winless streak in Serie A.

While the home side lost out at Inter Milan last weekend, Sinisa Mihajlovic's team had prevailed in three of their previous four outings.


Match preview

Roma head coach Paulo Fonseca pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

After AC Milan's resurgence since the middle part of the year, Paulo Fonseca knows that earning a return to the Champions League has become significantly tougher.

Failure to defeat either Napoli or Sassuolo in their most recent two fixtures has made Roma's task even tougher, but Fonseca will take the positives from earning a draw and clean sheet in the latter having played over half the game with 10 men.

While I Giallorossi now sit eight points adrift of the leaders, a more favourable fixture list without Europa League football as a distraction throws up a chance for Fonseca's team to make quick progress up the table.

A much-changed side lost out to CSKA Sofia on Thursday evening, but some of the squad's key players should be well rested for what feels like one of the most important games in their season.

Although Bologna sit four places and six points behind their next opponents, victory on Sunday would see the home side enter contention for the European places.

Mihajlovic's side have recorded six defeats in 10 games since the beginning of the campaign, but four wins have been enough to move the club out of trouble.

While there was disappointment after the 3-1 setback at Inter last weekend, Mihajlovic will prefer to focus on how his players have been competitive in every league match this season.

I Rossoblu are marginal underdogs for this contest, but that tag may suit this side as they bid to close the gap on a number of inconsistent teams above them in the table.

Bologna Serie A form: LWLWWL
Bologna form (all competitions): WLWLWL

Roma Serie A form: DWWWLD
Roma form (all competitions): WWLWDL


Team News

Bologna manager Sinisa Mihajlovic pictured in July 2020© Reuters

With Bologna goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski being ruled out through injury, second-choice stopper Angelo da Costa is expected to be named as his replacement.

If Mihajlovic decides to revert to a back four, Gary Medel could be the player to miss out in defence.

Roma will be without Pedro after the Spanish playmaker was sent off against Sassuolo last weekend.

However, Jordan Veretout is available again and should come into Fonseca's starting lineup.

Bologna possible starting lineup:
Da Costa; Silvestri, Danilo, Tomiyasu, Hickey; Schouten, Svanberg; Sansone, Soriano, Barrow; Palacio

Roma possible starting lineup:
Mirante; Ibanez, Smalling, Kumbulla; Karsdorp, Villar, Veretout, Spinazolla; Mkhitaryan, Pellegrini; Dzeko


SM words green background

We say: Bologna 1-2 Roma

After a couple of indifferent performances, Fonseca is aware that he needs a positive response from his team. While we feel that they will be made to work hard by their hosts at the weekend, expect a much-improved display from Roma as they look to remain in touch with the top four.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bologna vs Roma

Bologna
18.7%
Draw
25.3%
Roma
56.0%
75
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Roma's goalkeeper from Poland Lukasz Skorupski reacts during the UEFA Champions League Group E second-leg football match FC Bayern Munich vs AS Roma in Munich, southern Germany, on November 5, 2014
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Fiorentina1384127101728
4Napoli128221991026
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino134361619-315
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15CagliariCagliari132561424-1011
16Genoa132561124-1311
17Como132471325-1210
18Monza131661116-59
19Lecce12237521-169
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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