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[monks data]
Scotland national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2021 at 2pm UK
Hampden Park
Czech Republic national football team

Scotland
0 - 2
Czech Republic

FT(HT: 0-1)
Schick (42', 52')

Preview: Scotland vs. Czech Republic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between Scotland and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Scotland will be looking to make the perfect start to their Group D campaign when they open their European Championship with a clash against the Czech Republic at Hampden Park on Monday afternoon.

England and Croatia are the favourites to claim the top two positions in this section, but third spot could yet be enough to advance to the round of 16, and Steve Clarke's side will be eyeing a huge three points here.


Match preview

Scotland manager Steve Clarke on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Monday's clash at Hampden Park will mark Scotland's first match at a major international tournament since the 1998 World Cup, while they are competing in the finals of the European Championship for the first time since Euro 1996, when they also famously took on England in the group stage.

Scotland dramatically qualified for Euro 2020 courtesy of back-to-back penalty-shootout victories over Israel and Serbia in the semi-finals and final of the playoffs.

Clarke's team are certainly outsiders when it comes to claiming a top-two spot in this group, but a win on Monday would place them in an excellent position in the section ahead of the monumental clash with England at Wembley Stadium on June 18.

The Scots will be feeling good about their preparations for this summer's tournament, having picked up a respectable 2-2 draw with the Netherlands in a friendly on June 2 before recording a 1-0 win over Luxembourg on June 6 courtesy of a first-half effort from Che Adams.

Scotland have failed to progress past the group stage in their two previous participations in the European Championship, but Clarke has put together a squad capable of challenging for a spot in the round of 16.

Czech Republic's Ondrej Celustka celebrates scoring their third goal with Tomas Soucek on June 8, 2021© Reuters

Czech Republic, though, will also certainly have their eyes on a position in the knockout round of the competition and will view Monday's clash with Scotland as key to their chances of progression.

Jaroslav Silhavy's side suffered a 4-0 defeat to Italy in their first pre-tournament friendly on June 4 but managed to return to winning ways on June 8 courtesy of a 3-1 success over Albania.

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from the Czechs this summer, as they can be inconsistent, but a draw with Belgium in a 2022 World Cup qualifier back in March was an indication of their credentials.

Czech Republic famously finished as runners-up to Germany at Euro 1996, while they made the semi-finals of this competition in 2004 before also claiming a quarter-final spot at Euro 2012 - making them a side more than capable of negotiating their way into the latter stages of the tournament.

Silhavy's team will, rightly or wrongly, view Scotland as their weakest opponents in this group, and the fact that they finish the section with successive matches against Croatia and England means that the 1996 finalists cannot afford a slip up at Hampden Park.

Scotland form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Czech Republic form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Scotland's Che Adams celebrates scoring against Luxembourg on June 6, 2021© Reuters

The bulk of the Scotland side for this match is relatively straightforward to select, but there is still some uncertainty over whether Clarke will go with a front two, while the head coach must make a decision on the right-sided centre-back role in what could be a 3-5-2 formation.

Adams and Lyndon Dykes operated as the front two against Luxembourg last time out and that is again expected to be the case for this match, while Kieran Tierney, Andrew Robertson, Scott McTominay and John McGinn are certainties to be named in the first XI.

Jack Hendry could ultimately be given the nod at the back alongside Grant Hanley and Tierney, while Stephen O'Donnell is being tipped to feature as the right-sided wing-back against the Czechs.

Chelsea's Billy Gilmour is an option in the middle of the park, but Callum McGregor should join Premier League duo McTominay and McGinn in the engine room.

As for the Czech Republic, West Ham United duo Vladimir Coufal and Tomas Soucek are certainties to feature in their starting XI, while Bristol City's Tomas Kalas will operate in the middle of the defence.

Lukas Provod has been ruled out of the competition due to a knee injury, meaning that there is a spot in midfield to fill, with Alex Kral expected to line up alongside Soucek.

Vladimir Darida - the captain and most experienced player in the squad - will be in the starting side, while Bayer Leverkusen's Patrik Schick, who has struck 11 times at international level, is expected to get the nod over Burnley's Matej Vydra to feature in the centre-forward spot.

Scotland possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Hendry, Hanley, Tierney; O'Donnell, McTominay, McGregor, McGinn, Robertson; Dykes, Adams

Czech Republic possible starting lineup:
Vaclik; Coufal, Celustka, Kalas, Boril; Soucek, Kral; Masopust, Darida, Jankto; Schick


SM words green background

We say: Scotland 1-1 Czech Republic

There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match to both teams, but we are finding it incredibly difficult to separate them. Both are capable of causing problems in the final third of the field, but it might end up being a cagey affair in Glasgow, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 54.04%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Scotland vs Czech Republic

Scotland
49.5%
Draw
30.3%
Czech Republic
20.2%
1229
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Scotland players celebrate qualifying for Euro 2020 in November 2019
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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