Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.