Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
45.65% ( 0.53) | 24.7% ( -0.32) | 29.65% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.45% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.65% ( 1.29) | 46.35% ( -1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.36% ( 1.21) | 68.63% ( -1.21) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% ( 0.76) | 20.38% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% ( 1.2) | 52.8% ( -1.2) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( 0.51) | 29.09% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.98% ( 0.63) | 65.01% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |