Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.