Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 73.59%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 10.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
73.59% ( -0.54) | 16.01% ( 0.2) | 10.39% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.11% ( 0.09) | 35.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.03% ( 0.1) | 57.97% ( -0.1) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.62% ( -0.1) | 8.38% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.84% ( -0.24) | 29.15% ( 0.24) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.1% ( 0.71) | 43.89% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.96% ( 0.58) | 80.03% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 73.59% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 16.01% | 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |