Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.