Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
68.91% ( 0.19) | 18.3% ( -0.1) | 12.78% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 51.19% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% ( 0.24) | 40.28% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( 0.24) | 62.66% ( -0.24) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.38% ( 0.12) | 10.62% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.56% ( 0.26) | 34.44% ( -0.25) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.27% ( 0.01) | 42.73% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.94% ( 0.01) | 79.06% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.23% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.3% | 0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |