Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cove Rangers in this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Montrose |
42.92% ( -0.37) | 25.3% ( -0.05) | 31.78% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.99% ( 0.36) | 48% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.82% ( 0.33) | 70.17% ( -0.33) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( -0.02) | 22.31% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( -0.03) | 55.78% ( 0.02) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( 0.45) | 28.48% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.74% ( 0.56) | 64.26% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |