Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cove Rangers in this match.