Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result
Stenhousemuir	Draw	Dumbarton
46.29% ( -0.81)	24.07% ( 0.03)	29.63% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 58.6% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.47% (

0.34)

43.52% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.08% (

0.33)

65.91% (

-0.33)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

-0.2)

18.97% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.49% (

-0.33)

50.5% (

0.32)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

0.7)

27.68% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

0.89)

63.24% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Stenhousemuir 46.29%

Dumbarton 29.63%

Draw 24.07%

Stenhousemuir	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.29%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.63%

Head to Head

Dec 9, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 15

Dumbarton

0-1

Stenhousemuir

Malcolm (34'), Wallace (59'), Lynas (60')

Berry (87')
Bilham (73')

Aug 26, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 4

Stenhousemuir

2-4

Dumbarton

Aitken (55' pen., 90+7')
Buchanan (33'), Yates (51'), Jamieson (90'), Kirkpatrick (90+1')

Crighton (14'), MacLean (29', 30'), Hilton (42')
Crighton (20'), Long (52'), MacLean (65'), Pignatiello (75'), Wallace (90+1'), Gray (90+2')
Pignatiello (82')

Apr 1, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 31

Dumbarton

1-2

Stenhousemuir

Lynas (45+4')

Reilly (71'), Orr (78')

Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 17

Dumbarton

1-0

Stenhousemuir