MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:43:58| >> :60:252:252:
Stenhousemuir
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Falkirk

Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Falkirk

Alston (84' pen.)
Anderson (30'), Yates (43')
FT
(aet)
Miller (89')
Yeats (65')
Henderson (67')
Stenhousemuir win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Stenhousemuir and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 5-1 Annan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Falkirk

All competitions
Last Game: Morton 2-3 Falkirk
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%).

Result
StenhousemuirDrawFalkirk
24.95% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.35% (0.0019999999999989 0) 51.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.58% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.03% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 24.95%
    Falkirk 51.7%
    Draw 23.35%
StenhousemuirDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.95%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-1 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.48%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 51.7%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 3pm
Group Stage
Falkirk
4-0
Stenhousemuir
Morrison (25' pen.), Maciver (31', 56'), Henderson (68')
Morrison (39')

Jacobs (9'), Berry (23'), Bilham (35'), Taylor (42'), O'Donnell (69'), Ewen (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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