Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.