Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals

Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
4 - 2
Dunfermline

McMullan (29'), Robertson (59'), McCowan (83'), Anderson (90+1')
Thomas (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McCann (38'), Wighton (90+3')
MacDonald (27'), O'Hara (29')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Dundee and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Dundee (2-0 pen.)
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Partick 1-1 Dunfermline (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
43.67% ( 1.02)	25.98% ( -0.74)	30.34% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

2.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.54% (

2.85)

51.46% (

-2.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.73% (

2.43)

73.27% (

-2.44)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56% (

1.77)

23.44% (

-1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55% (

2.5)

57.45% (

-2.51)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

1.26)

31.21% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45% (

1.45)

67.55% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Dundee 43.67%

Dunfermline Athletic 30.34%

Draw 25.97%

Dundee	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.67%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.34%