Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 61.52%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.69% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.39%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (5.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
19.69% ( -1.42) | 18.78% ( -0.72) | 61.52% ( 2.14) |
Both teams to score 66.39% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.62% ( 1.45) | 28.38% ( -1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.79% ( 1.78) | 49.21% ( -1.78) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( -0.34) | 26.98% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( -0.45) | 62.33% ( 0.45) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.92% ( 0.93) | 9.07% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.15% ( 2.18) | 30.85% ( -2.18) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.59% Total : 19.69% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.78% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 4.43% ( 0.31) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.17) 1-5 @ 2.13% ( 0.23) 0-5 @ 1.62% ( 0.19) 2-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.14) 3-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.37% Total : 61.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |