Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
31.69% (![]() | 25.92% (![]() | 42.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.29% (![]() | 50.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.39% (![]() | 72.61% (![]() |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% (![]() | 29.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% (![]() | 66% (![]() |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% (![]() | 23.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.12% (![]() | 57.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 8.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 12.32% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 10.2% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 57 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 49 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 49 |
4 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 42 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 41 |
6 | Montrose | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 39 |
7 | Kelty Hearts | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 37 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 33 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
10 | Dumbarton | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 13 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |