Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
25.76% ( -7.14) | 24.9% ( -1.55) | 49.33% ( 8.69) |
Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.28% ( 2.85) | 49.71% ( -2.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.27% ( 2.49) | 71.72% ( -2.5) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% ( -3.78) | 33.79% ( 3.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% ( -4.32) | 70.46% ( 4.32) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( 5.29) | 20.17% ( -5.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.53% ( 7.83) | 52.47% ( -7.83) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 7.4% ( -1.8) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -1.15) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( -1.52) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.72) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.77) Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.76% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.74) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.87) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 1.58) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 1.13) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( 1.4) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.68) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.75) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |