Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.