Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.