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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 27, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hibs logo

Hearts
1 - 1
Hibernian

Oda (8')
Hill (9'), Shankland (89'), Atkinson (90+4')
Cochrane (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nisbet (31')
Johnson (10'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Stevenson (24'), Cadden (63'), Devlin (90+4'), Campbell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 4-2 Celtic
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian

We can see Hearts and Hibernian serving up an entertaining encounter at Tynecastle as both sides aim to finish the season on a high, with the Edinburgh rivals expected to share the spoils in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
42.89% (-2.552 -2.55) 23.44% (0.222 0.22) 33.66% (2.325 2.33)
Both teams to score 62.85% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.22% (-0.169 -0.17)38.78% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.91% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)61.09% (0.174 0.17)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-1.104 -1.1)18.47% (1.099 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-1.894 -1.89)49.67% (1.89 1.89)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (1.256 1.26)22.91% (-1.26 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (1.821 1.82)56.67% (-1.825 -1.83)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 42.89%
    Hibernian 33.66%
    Draw 23.44%
HeartsDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.397 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.354 -0.35)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.35 0.35)
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.361 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.304 0.3)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.253 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.159 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
43.8%
Draw
25.0%
Hibernian
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 32
Hibernian
1-0
Hearts
Nisbet (67')
Egan Riley (10'), Johnson (11'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Cadden (61'), Newell (78'), Campbell (90+1'), Hanlon (90+1')

Naismith (0'), Devlin (20'), Atkinson (77'), Kingsley (89'), Sibbick (90+2')
Jan 22, 2023 2pm
Fourth Round
Hibernian
0-3
Hearts

Jeggo (18'), Bushiri (50')
Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')
McKay (19'), Cochrane (27'), Shankland (50'), Ginnelly (90+7')
Shankland (90+1')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 20
Hearts
3-0
Hibernian
Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')

Cadden (11')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
gameweek 2
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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