Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Mirren in this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Dundee |
26.41% ( -0.06) | 26.81% ( -0.01) | 46.79% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.74% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.35% ( 0.02) | 56.65% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( 0.01) | 77.62% ( -0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% ( -0.04) | 37.01% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% ( -0.04) | 73.8% ( 0.04) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( 0.04) | 24.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.45% ( 0.06) | 58.55% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |