Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Dundee |
38.39% ( 0.05) | 27.22% ( -0) | 34.39% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.08% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.65% ( 0.01) | 55.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.44% ( 0.01) | 76.56% ( -0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72% ( 0.03) | 28.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( 0.04) | 63.65% ( -0.04) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( -0.02) | 30.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% ( -0.03) | 66.64% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |