Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hibernian in this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
54.91% ( 1.89) | 22.59% ( -0.36) | 22.5% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.17% ( -0.05) | 42.83% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.77% ( -0.05) | 65.23% ( 0.06) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( 0.63) | 15.5% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.6% ( 1.17) | 44.4% ( -1.16) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -1.36) | 32.85% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -1.54) | 69.42% ( 1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.67% Total : 54.91% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |