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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Easter Road
Livingston logo

Hibernian
4 - 0
Livingston

Nisbet (33'), Cadden (35'), Magennis (40', 50')
Porteous (17'), Newell (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Shinnie (17'), Pittman (24'), Longridge (46'), Devlin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 3-2 Hibernian
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Livingston
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 1-1 Livingston

In a match with significant consequences in the battle for the European slots, we expect a tight affair that could go right to the wire between two even teams. This will be reflected on the day, as both sides will be inseparable on the day and have to settle for a point apiece at Easter Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawLivingston
60.49% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 23.23% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 16.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 44.45% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.502 -0.5)53.95% (0.494 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.423 -0.42)75.4% (0.416 0.42)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-0.164 -0.16)17.5% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)48.01% (0.271 0.27)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.88% (-0.484 -0.48)46.12% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.18% (-0.378 -0.38)81.81% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 60.47%
    Livingston 16.27%
    Draw 23.22%
HibernianDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 12.25% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.12% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 60.47%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.155 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 16.27%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Livingston

Hibernian
41.9%
Draw
22.6%
Livingston
35.5%
31
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-1
Hibernian
Nouble (6'), Obileye (86')
Montano (52')
Kenneh (51')
Boyle (52'), Cabraja (80')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
Pittman (57')
Pittman (86'), Holt (90+2'), Kelly (90+4')

Melkersen (51'), Henderson (90+2')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
2-3
Livingston
Mitchell (6'), Cadden (32')
Murphy (79')
Obileye (18'), Fitzwater (53'), Forrest (59')
Holt (76')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
McMillan (16')
Stryjek (17'), Omeonga (49'), Penrice (50')

McGinn (36'), Doyle-Hayes (55'), Hanlon (61')
McGinn (85'), Hanlon (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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