Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 3.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 4-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
88.76% ( -1.22) | 8.21% ( 0.72) | 3.03% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 37.23% ( 2.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.42% ( -0.26) | 28.58% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.54% ( -0.32) | 49.46% ( 0.33) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% ( -0.24) | 4.05% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.97% ( -0.79) | 17.03% ( 0.79) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.8% ( 2.94) | 61.2% ( -2.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.75% ( 1.38) | 91.25% ( -1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
3-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.7) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 7% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.47) 4-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.2) 6-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.39) 5-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.84% 7-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.17) Other @ 4.54% Total : 88.74% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.3% Total : 8.21% | 0-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.86% Total : 3.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |