Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hearts0 - 1Motherwell
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PAOK 4-0 Hearts
Thursday, August 31 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 31 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Hearts 1-2 Motherwell
Hearts have had a mixed season so far, but the fact they head into this game on the back of a trio of losses is something that could be crucial when it comes to momentum. Motherwell have proven themselves resilient and difficult to defeat this season, and that is why they are likely to edge this one in what promises to be a close fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
36.6% ( 0.95) | 24.73% ( -0.05) | 38.68% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
