Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 84.99%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 4.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.97%) and 4-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
84.99% ( 0.72) | 10.58% ( -0.48) | 4.43% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 39.7% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.97% ( 1.27) | 33.02% ( -1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.24% ( 1.45) | 54.75% ( -1.45) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.52% ( 0.38) | 5.48% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.61% ( 1.08) | 21.38% ( -1.08) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42% ( -0.02) | 57.99% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.41% ( -0.01) | 89.59% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
2-0 @ 13.39% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14) 6-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 7-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.5% Total : 84.98% | 1-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.39% Total : 10.58% | 0-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.33% Total : 4.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |