Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals

Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Easter Road Stadium

Hibernian
4 - 2
St Mirren

Youan (52'), Vente (54'), Boyle (80', 90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tanser (43'), Baccus (76')
McMenamin (65')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hibernian and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

We said: Hibernian 1-3 St Mirren

Hibernian might be on a good run of form as of late, but they will not be the favourites in this game, particularly due to the poor defensive displays they have put on this season. St Mirren are enjoying an incredible start to the new season and with the quality that they have the Buddies should take the victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	St Mirren
36.17% ( 0.13)	24.87% ( 0.04)	38.96% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 58.16% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.89% (

-0.17)

45.11% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.54% (

-0.17)

67.46% (

0.17)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

-0.01)

24.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08% (

-0.01)

58.91% (

0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

-0.16)

22.99% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.21% (

-0.24)

56.79% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Hibernian 36.17%

St Mirren 38.96%

Draw 24.87%

Hibernian	Draw	St Mirren
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.17%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.96%