Eibar

2 - 1

Alcorcon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.