Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
64.5% | 20.01% | 15.48% |
Both teams to score 52.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.9% | 42.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.5% | 64.5% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% | 12.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.87% | 38.12% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.99% | 40% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.34% | 76.65% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
2-0 @ 10.8% 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.5% | 1-1 @ 9.46% 0-0 @ 4.93% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.01% | 0-1 @ 4.52% 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |