Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Napoli0 - 4AC Milan
We said: Napoli 1-1 AC Milan
In Serie A, Napoli last drew 23 games ago - with 21 wins being piled up in the intervening period. Yet, the absence of their attacking focal point and the disruption of the international break may prove enough to help Milan escape with a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
| 64.5% | 20.01% | 15.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% | 12.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.87% | 38.12% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.34% | 76.65% |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 64.5%
AC Milan 15.48%
Draw 20.01%
| Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-0 @ 10.8% 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.5% | 1-1 @ 9.46% 0-0 @ 4.93% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.01% | 0-1 @ 4.52% 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.48% |
How you voted: Napoli vs AC Milan
Napoli
81.7%Draw
13.5%AC Milan
4.8%208
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
