Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Lecce |
61.66% (![]() | 23.17% (![]() | 15.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% (![]() | 55.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% (![]() | 76.65% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% (![]() | 17.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.77% (![]() | 48.23% (![]() |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.45% (![]() | 48.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.37% (![]() | 83.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 14.85% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.89% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 10.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |