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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Frosinone logo

AC Milan
3 - 1
Frosinone

Jovic (43'), Pulisic (50'), Tomori (74')
Jovic (80'), Pioli (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brescianini (82')
Barrenechea (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Genoa
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Frosinone

 Hit by their latest raft of injuries, and amid some woeful form, Milan could be vulnerable to a shock loss on Saturday. However, Frosinone's fortunes nosedive away from the home comforts of Stadio Stirpe, so the Rossoneri should have enough depth to take maximum points against dangerous opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawFrosinone
61.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 20.59% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 17.81% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)40.41% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)62.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (0.022999999999996 0.02)38.76% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 61.6%
    Frosinone 17.81%
    Draw 20.59%
AC MilanDrawFrosinone
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Frosinone

AC Milan
87.7%
Draw
9.2%
Frosinone
3.1%
65
Head to Head
May 19, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
2-0
Frosinone
Piatek (57'), Suso (66')
(0')
Dec 26, 2018 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Frosinone
0-0
AC Milan
Ghiglione (41'), Crisetig (54')
Donnarumma (40')
May 1, 2016 2pm
AC Milan
3-3
Frosinone
Bacca (50'), Antonelli (74'), Menez (92' pen.)
Balotelli (26'), Kucka (45')
Paganini (2'), Kragl (44'), Dionisi (54')
Sammarco (10'), Gori (19'), Bardi (39'), Kragl (45'), Russo (48'), Dionisi (55'), Pryima (91')
Dec 20, 2015 5pm
Frosinone
2-4
AC Milan
Ciofani (19'), Dionisi (84')
Tonev (45'), Soddimo (55'), Dionisi (61'), Pavlovic (68'), Ciofani (91')
Abate (51'), Bacca (55'), Alex (77'), Bonaventura (93')
Niang (49'), Romagnoli (60'), Donnarumma (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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