Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 1Frosinone
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Frosinone
Hit by their latest raft of injuries, and amid some woeful form, Milan could be vulnerable to a shock loss on Saturday. However, Frosinone's fortunes nosedive away from the home comforts of Stadio Stirpe, so the Rossoneri should have enough depth to take maximum points against dangerous opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Frosinone |
61.6% ( 0.01) | 20.59% ( -0.01) | 17.81% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
