MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:58:58| >> :120:28494:28494:
Milan logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
PSG logo

AC Milan
2 - 1
PSG

Leao (12'), Giroud (50')
Musah (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Skriniar (9')
Vitinha (24'), Kolo (29'), Ugarte (43'), Hernandez (55'), Skriniar (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

A slice of unwanted history appears destined to be written for Milan on Tuesday night, where another fruitless evening in the Champions League is in store against a goal-happy Paris Saint-Germain crop. A handful of changes from Saturday's dampening defeat could help Milan keep PSG at bay for a while, but the Ligue 1 holders should find their way through on more than one occasion to maintain or increase their advantage at the top of Group F, while keeping a rare Champions League away clean sheet to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawParis Saint-Germain
37.36% (1.744 1.74) 24.77% (0.595 0.59) 37.87% (-2.337 -2.34)
Both teams to score 58.62% (-2.024 -2.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-2.692 -2.69)44.55% (2.693 2.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-2.656 -2.66)66.92% (2.658 2.66)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.295 -0.3)23.57% (0.295 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)57.63% (0.43 0.43)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-2.343 -2.34)23.3% (2.343 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (-3.535 -3.54)57.25% (3.537 3.54)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 37.36%
    Paris Saint-Germain 37.87%
    Draw 24.76%
AC MilanDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.255 0.26)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.826 0.83)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.553 0.55)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.244 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 37.36%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.614 0.61)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.179 -0.18)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-1 @ 8% (0.378 0.38)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.433 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.212 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.87%

How you voted: AC Milan vs PSG

AC Milan
10.4%
Draw
16.1%
Paris Saint-Germain
73.5%
211
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
PSG
3-0
AC Milan
Mbappe (32'), Kolo (53'), Kang-in (89')
Hakimi (16'), Dembele (44')

Thiaw (4'), Krunic (7'), Tomori (61'), Kalulu (62')
rhs 2.0
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