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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Udinese


Krunic (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereyra (62' pen.)
Perez (54'), Kabasele (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 AC Milan
Sunday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Udinese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Udinese

 They may have lost to Inter, Juventus and PSG this season, but Milan have been beaten just twice in their last 25 games against teams sitting inside Serie A's bottom four. Winning 18 times during that period shows that the Rossoneri rarely struggle against Italy's lesser lights, so an ailing Udinese side are bound for defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawUdinese
59.84% (-0.143 -0.14) 22.17% (0.07 0.07) 17.99% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87% (-0.188 -0.19)47.13% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-0.175 -0.17)69.36% (0.176 0.18)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (-0.111 -0.11)15.34% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.89% (-0.208 -0.21)44.11% (0.208 0.21)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)39.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.023 -0.02)76.59% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 59.83%
    Udinese 17.99%
    Draw 22.17%
AC MilanDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.83%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

AC Milan
91.3%
Draw
5.8%
Udinese
2.9%
69
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Udinese
3-1
AC Milan
Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
Gameweek 27
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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