We say: Torino 1-0 Frosinone
As Torino have lost just once in six home games this term, while Frosinone remain winless on the road, the home side should prevail and progress to the last 16. Toro rarely score more than once, but that could be enough to quieten the Canarini on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%).