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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Milan logo

Napoli
2 - 2
AC Milan

Politano (50'), Raspadori (63')
Natan (53'), Di Lorenzo (65'), Zanoli (86')
Natan (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Giroud (22', 31')
Reijnders (55'), Romero (62'), Musah (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 Napoli
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: PSG 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Napoli 1-1 AC Milan

 Napoli have failed to beat Milan on home turf for some time now, and that run could be extended this week, as they are still not firing on all cylinders and will be missing their main marksman. Olivier Giroud's goal drought is a concern for the Rossoneri, but he tends to produce in the biggest matches, while Rafael Leao bagged a brace on his last league visit to the Maradona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawAC Milan
52.01% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 22.98% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 25.01% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.02% (0.424 0.42)41.98% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62% (0.425 0.42)64.38% (-0.42699999999999 -0.43)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.17 0.17)16.2% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (0.313 0.31)45.69% (-0.315 -0.31)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.252 0.25)30.26% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (0.3 0.3)66.44% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 52.01%
    AC Milan 25.01%
    Draw 22.98%
NapoliDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.01%

How you voted: Napoli vs AC Milan

Napoli
43.2%
Draw
20.5%
AC Milan
36.4%
132
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Napoli
1-1
AC Milan
Osimhen (90+3')
Giroud (43')
> Match Report
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Bennacer (40')
> Match Report
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
AC Milan
1-2
Napoli
Giroud (69')
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
0-1
AC Milan

Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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