Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli2 - 2AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 Napoli
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Napoli 1-1 AC Milan
Napoli have failed to beat Milan on home turf for some time now, and that run could be extended this week, as they are still not firing on all cylinders and will be missing their main marksman. Olivier Giroud's goal drought is a concern for the Rossoneri, but he tends to produce in the biggest matches, while Rafael Leao bagged a brace on his last league visit to the Maradona. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
52.01% ( 0.05) | 22.98% ( -0.09) | 25.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.44% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.02% ( 0.42) | 41.98% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.62% ( 0.42) | 64.38% ( -0.43) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.17) | 16.2% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.31) | 45.69% ( -0.31) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( 0.25) | 30.26% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.56% ( 0.3) | 66.44% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 52.01%
AC Milan 25.01%
Draw 22.98%
| Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.01% |
How you voted: Napoli vs AC Milan
Napoli
43.2%Draw
20.5%AC Milan
36.4%132
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
