Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
52.01% ( 0.05) | 22.98% ( -0.09) | 25.01% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.44% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.02% ( 0.42) | 41.98% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.62% ( 0.42) | 64.38% ( -0.43) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( 0.17) | 16.2% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.31% ( 0.31) | 45.69% ( -0.31) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( 0.25) | 30.26% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( 0.3) | 66.44% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |