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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan

Noslin (64')
Serdar (6'), Baroni (7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hernandez (44'), Pulisic (50'), Chukwueze (79')
Tomori (30'), Hernandez (45'), Reijnders (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-3 AC Milan
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

They may have beaten two fellow strugglers in recent games, but Verona still lack bite in the opposition area, so only tired legs may stop Milan from coasting to victory. Four days on from securing progress in Europe, the Rossoneri should take care of business at Stadio Bentegodi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
26.03% (-0.494 -0.49) 25.57% (0.107 0.11) 48.39% (0.388 0.39)
Both teams to score 51.03% (-0.739 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (-0.766 -0.77)52.22% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08% (-0.664 -0.66)73.92% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-0.819 -0.82)34.92% (0.82 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-0.871 -0.87)71.66% (0.872 0.87)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.146 -0.15)21.59% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.224 -0.22)54.68% (0.225 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.03%
    AC Milan 48.39%
    Draw 25.57%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.065 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 26.03%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.227 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.53% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 48.39%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
6.6%
Draw
8.8%
AC Milan
84.6%
91
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
Leao (8')
Thiaw (24'), Musah (58'), Pioli (69+69'), Pulisic (76'), Florenzi (89')

Faraoni (42'), Bonazzoli (55')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-1
Hellas Verona
Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')
Hernandez (89')
Faraoni (72')
Magnani (49'), Sulemana (60'), Cabal (62'), Depaoli (77')
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hellas Verona
1-2
AC Milan
Gunter (19')
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14Como122461323-1010
15Genoa12246922-1310
16CagliariCagliari11236919-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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