MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:42:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Monza

Lecce
2 - 1
Monza

Morente (3'), Krstovic (44')
Rafia (28'), Giampaolo (30')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dorgu (37' og.)
Kiriakopoulos (20'), Izzo (40'), Bianco (43'), Maldini (83'), Pereira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-1 Lecce
Saturday, December 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Udinese
Monday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Monza

Crosses and set-pieces could play a part in this game's outcome, as Monza have conceded the most headed goals in Serie A (eight), with Lecce lying joint-second (six) in those rankings. The visitors' wait for a win may come to its end, as their hosts are still unstable at the back and are by far the lowest scorers in Italy's top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawMonza
35.86% (2.493 2.49) 26.67% (0.755 0.75) 37.48% (-3.243 -3.24)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-2.067 -2.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (-2.82 -2.82)53.01% (2.822 2.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (-2.452 -2.45)74.61% (2.455 2.46)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.173 0.17)28.38% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.215 0.22)64.12% (-0.211 -0.21)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58% (-3.064 -3.06)27.42% (3.069 3.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-4.144 -4.14)62.89% (4.148 4.15)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 35.86%
    Monza 37.47%
    Draw 26.66%
LecceDrawMonza
1-0 @ 9.8% (1.086 1.09)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.271 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.71 0.71)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.86%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.829 0.83)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.283 -0.28)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.241 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.49 -0.49)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.421 -0.42)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.555 -0.56)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.456 -0.46)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.47%

How you voted: Lecce vs Monza

Lecce
41.1%
Draw
32.1%
Monza
26.8%
56
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 34
Lecce
1-1
Monza
Krstovic (90+2')
Oudin (25'), Krstovic (70')
Pessina (90+6' pen.)
Colombo (15'), Izzo (70'), Gagliardini (77')
Sep 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Monza
1-1
Lecce
Colpani (24')
Caldirola (2'), Mari (19'), Birindelli (61'), Ciurria (76'), Pereira (87')
Caldirola (85')
Krstovic (3' pen.)
Rafia (45+2')
Baschirotto (55')
May 28, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 37
Monza
0-1
Lecce

Sensi (54'), Birindelli (65')
Donati (81')
Colombo (90+11' pen.)
Banda (56'), Baschirotto (82'), Hjulmand (90+2')
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Lecce
1-1
Monza
Gonzalez (48')
Sensi (35')
Feb 27, 2022 2.35pm
Gameweek 26
Monza
0-1
Lecce

Donati (25'), Mazzitelli (45'), Pepin (50'), Paletta (54')
Coda (56' pen.)
Tuia (45+1'), Lucioni (63'), Gargiulo (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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