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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Roma logo

Empoli
2 - 1
Roma

Cancellieri (13'), Niang (90+3')
Gyasi (2'), Destro (34'), Marin (81'), Niang (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aouar (45+1')
Costa (90')

The Match

Match Report

Empoli pull off a great escape from the Serie A relegation zone on the final day with a 2-1 win over Roma, keeping Davide Nicola's men in Serie A as Frosinone go down.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
33.32% (-0.315 -0.31) 26.69% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 39.98% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.52% (-0.315 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (-0.366 -0.37)53.43% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (-0.311 -0.31)74.96% (0.31 0.31)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)30.17% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-0.465 -0.46)66.32% (0.464 0.46)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.21% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)61.3% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 33.32%
    Roma 39.98%
    Draw 26.68%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Empoli vs Roma

Empoli
27.2%
Draw
17.6%
Roma
55.2%
125
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
7-0
Empoli
Dybala (2' pen., 55'), Sanches (8'), Grassi (35' og.), Cristante (79'), Lukaku (82'), Mancini (86')
Dybala (38'), Sanches (39')

Cancellieri (39'), Maleh (58')
Feb 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Ibanez (2'), Abraham (6')
Sep 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Empoli
1-2
Roma
Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
Jan 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 23
Empoli
2-4
Roma
Pinamonti (55'), Bajrami (72')
Tonelli (63'), Benassi (83')
Abraham (24', 33'), Oliveira (35'), Zaniolo (37')
Mancini (52'), Cristante (85')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Pellegrini (42'), Mkhitaryan (48')
Mancini (57'), Zaniolo (85')

Ricci (46'), Haas (56'), Stojanovic (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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