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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Monza

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Monza

Kean (45'), Gosens (90+6')
Mandragora (23'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Djuric (18'), Maldini (32')
Pessina (21'), Izzo (75'), Petagna (80'), Nesta (81'), Gagliardini (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-1 Fiorentina (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Monza

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Genoa
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza

 Sunday's game will bring together the team with most shots on target after two Serie A matchdays (Fiorentina, 15) and the side with fewest (Monza, three). After a draining 120-minute match in Hungary, though, Raffaele Palladino's men may not be in sufficient shape to record their first league win of the season, with Monza standing firm to frustrate their former manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawMonza
65.74% (-0.47 -0.47) 20.59% (0.314 0.31) 13.67% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)48.31% (0.967 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.889 -0.89)70.45% (0.89 0.89)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.443 -0.44)13.87% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (-0.882 -0.88)41.27% (0.882 0.88)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.59% (-0.354 -0.35)46.4% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97% (-0.274 -0.27)82.03% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.73%
    Monza 13.67%
    Draw 20.59%
FiorentinaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 12.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.08% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 65.73%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.135 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.59%
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.147 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Monza

Fiorentina
71.0%
Draw
27.5%
Monza
1.4%
69
Head to Head
May 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-1
Monza
Gonzalez (32'), Arthur (78')
Parisi (41')
Djuric (9')
Bondo (69')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
0-1
Fiorentina

Mari (33'), Akpa-Akpro (72'), D'Ambrosio (88')
Beltran (7')
Beltran (33'), Mina (68'), Kayode (86'), Ranieri (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Monza
3-2
Fiorentina
Biraghi (26' og.), Mota (43'), Pessina (59' pen.)
Kouame (8'), Saponara (13')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
1-1
Monza
Cabral (19')
Augusto (61')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2019 5.15pm
Third Round
Fiorentina
3-1
Monza
Vlahovic (80', 86'), Chiesa (89')
Terzic (29'), Ranieri (71'), Vlahovic (87')
Brighenti (34')
Sampirisi (33'), Scaglia (39'), Bellusci (44'), Iocolano (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514
> Serie A Full Table


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