MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 14:39:17| >> :600:394616:394616:
Fiorentina logo
Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 3
Puskas Academy

Sottil (45+3'), Martinez (67'), Kean (75')
Martinez (17'), Pongracic (85'), Biraghi (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Nagy (9' pen.), Soisalo (12'), Golla (89')
Nagy (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Puskas Academy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Puskas Academy

Despite Fiorentina's season just starting and Puskas' higher match sharpness, the Italian club's superior quality should tell in Florence as they secure a positive outcome going into the reverse fixture in Felcsut a week later. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Puskas Academy win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawPuskas Academy
65.22% (0.191 0.19) 19.61% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 15.17% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11% (0.25 0.25)40.89% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72% (0.25299999999999 0.25)63.28% (-0.25 -0.25)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (0.128 0.13)11.77% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (0.267 0.27)36.95% (-0.263 -0.26)
Puskas Academy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (0.029 0.03)76.35% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.22%
    Puskas Academy 15.17%
    Draw 19.61%
FiorentinaDrawPuskas Academy
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.62% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 65.22%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.61%
0-1 @ 4.32% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.17%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Puskas Academy

Fiorentina
92.7%
Draw
7.3%
Puskas Academy
0.0%
82
rhs 2.0
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