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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
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Napoli
2 - 2
Roma

Olivera (64'), Osimhen (84' pen.)
Rrahmani (75'), Zambo Anguissa (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dybala (59' pen.), Abraham (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Napoli
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Roma
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-2 Roma

 Six of the last seven goals scored in games between Roma and Napoli have arrived after the 75th minute, so history suggests a late winner could be on the cards. The hosts' home record is underwhelming, so the Giallorossi may deepen their misery with a rare win in Naples. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawRoma
49.01% (0.965 0.96) 24.19% (-0.328 -0.33) 26.79% (-0.645 -0.65)
Both teams to score 56.08% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (0.959 0.96)45.88% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (0.901 0.9)68.19% (-0.91 -0.91)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.765 0.77)18.8% (-0.773 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (1.27 1.27)50.21% (-1.279 -1.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.93% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)67.23% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 49.01%
    Roma 26.79%
    Draw 24.19%
NapoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.065 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.123 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 49.01%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 26.79%

How you voted: Napoli vs Roma

Napoli
38.3%
Draw
21.3%
Roma
40.4%
94
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Napoli
Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')

Rui (28'), Mazzarri (31'), Jesus (62'), Osimhen (73')
Politano (66'), Osimhen (86')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-1
Roma
Osimhen (17'), Simeone (86')
El Shaarawy (75')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
0-1
Napoli
Osimhen (80')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
0-0
Napoli
Mourinho (19'), Abraham (30'), Mourinho (82'), Karsdorp (90+4'), Veretout (90+4'), Mancini (90+5')
Mertens (90+5')
Spalletti (90+6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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