Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Roma |
29.56% ( -0.04) | 26.37% ( -0.19) | 44.07% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% ( 0.72) | 53.33% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( 0.61) | 74.87% ( -0.6) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( 0.34) | 32.74% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( 0.38) | 69.3% ( -0.38) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% ( 0.44) | 24.06% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( 0.61) | 58.34% ( -0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |