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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta logo

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Atalanta

Bonaventura (35'), Martinez (45'), Kouame (76')
Parisi (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Koopmeiners (20'), Lookman (53')
de Roon (34'), Zortea (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Monza
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC

 Fiorentina may have to wait for their first home win of the season, as Atalanta were one of the best away teams last season and have kept a couple of clean sheets already this term. Both teams will have one eye on their upcoming European fixture, too, so a draw may represent an acceptable outcome for either manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
48.11% (-0.444 -0.44) 24.43% (-0.265 -0.27) 27.46% (0.708 0.71)
Both teams to score 55.84% (1.441 1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (1.631 1.63)46.45% (-1.633 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (1.516 1.52)68.73% (-1.516 -1.52)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61% (0.46199999999999 0.46)19.38% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.81% (0.753 0.75)51.19% (-0.756 -0.76)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (1.397 1.4)30.72% (-1.399 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (1.62 1.62)66.98% (-1.621 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 48.11%
    Atalanta BC 27.46%
    Draw 24.43%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.538 -0.54)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.421 -0.42)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.207 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
35.1%
Draw
39.2%
Atalanta BC
25.7%
74
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Cabral (56' pen.)
Maehle (37')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Atalanta
1-0
Fiorentina
Lookman (59')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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