Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
48.11% ( -0.44) | 24.43% ( -0.27) | 27.46% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( 1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.55% ( 1.63) | 46.45% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.27% ( 1.52) | 68.73% ( -1.52) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( 0.46) | 19.38% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.81% ( 0.75) | 51.19% ( -0.76) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( 1.4) | 30.72% ( -1.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.02% ( 1.62) | 66.98% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.11% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
6 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
10 | Roma | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
11 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Bologna | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
13 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
16 | Como | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |