Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Frosinone |
58.19% (![]() | 23.27% (![]() | 18.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.18% (![]() | 50.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.29% (![]() | 72.7% (![]() |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% (![]() | 17.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.54% (![]() | 47.46% (![]() |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.53% (![]() | 41.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.03% (![]() | 77.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 12.55% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.04% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.18% | 1-1 @ 11.04% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.28% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |