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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Frosinone logo

Lazio
3 - 1
Frosinone

Castellanos (70'), Isaksen (72'), Patric (84')
Patric (56'), Sarri (57'), Isaksen (78'), Cataldi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Soule (58' pen.)
Okoli (74'), Barrenechea (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Frosinone

 Lazio's inconsistency means while they may be favourites for this one, it could be a much closer outing than Sarri would prefer. The visitors Frosinone are in the midst of a rut though, so this will be a tough task, especially because they have been poor on the road this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawFrosinone
58.19% (-0.12 -0.12) 23.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 18.54% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (0.032999999999994 0.03)50.81% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)72.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)17.19% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)47.46% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (0.128 0.13)41.46% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03% (0.113 0.11)77.96% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 58.18%
    Frosinone 18.54%
    Draw 23.26%
LazioDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 18.54%

How you voted: Lazio vs Frosinone

Lazio
81.1%
Draw
12.6%
Frosinone
6.3%
95
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 22
Frosinone
0-1
Lazio

Ciano (66')
Caicedo (36')
Parolo (29'), Caicedo (44'), Leiva (61'), Strakosha (80'), Durmisi (90')
Sep 2, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
1-0
Frosinone
Alberto (49')
Parolo (20')

Brighenti (3'), Ghiglione (90')
Feb 21, 2016 5pm
Frosinone
0-0
Lazio
Rosi (75'), Chibsah (95')
Oct 4, 2015 5pm
Lazio
2-0
Frosinone
Balde Diao (80'), Djordjevic (94')
Biglia (53'), Gentiletti (59'), Anderson (67'), Balde Diao (81')

Dionisi (53')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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