Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
44.25% ( -1.31) | 28.7% ( 0.54) | 27.05% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 43.15% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.29% ( -1.34) | 62.71% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.74% ( -0.98) | 82.26% ( 0.99) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -1.32) | 28.28% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( -1.7) | 64% ( 1.71) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.17% ( -0.08) | 39.83% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% ( -0.07) | 76.49% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 14.22% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.4% Total : 27.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |