Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
53.81% ( 0.05) | 25.59% ( -0.02) | 20.59% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.99% ( 0.02) | 57% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.1% ( 0.02) | 77.9% ( -0.02) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( 0.03) | 21.24% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.85% ( 0.04) | 54.15% ( -0.05) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.24% ( -0.02) | 42.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.91% ( -0.02) | 79.09% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
6 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
9 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Roma | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
16 | Como | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |