Fiorentina2 - 1Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Roma
For all their recent stumbles, Fiorentina have been beaten at home just four times in Serie A this season, and they can close out their Stadio Franchi campaign with a win. Roma will be mentally preparing for events in Budapest next week and have all but written off chances of a top-four finish. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
53.81% ( 0.05) | 25.59% ( -0.02) | 20.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( 0.02) | 57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( 0.02) | 77.9% ( -0.02) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.03) | 21.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.85% ( 0.04) | 54.15% ( -0.05) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.02) | 42.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.91% ( -0.02) | 79.09% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.59% |
