Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Frosinone |
58.18% ( 0.08) | 22.53% ( -0.02) | 19.29% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.07% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.32% ( -0) | 46.68% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.05% ( -0) | 68.95% ( 0) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( 0.03) | 15.74% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% ( 0.05) | 44.85% ( -0.05) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.79% ( -0.07) | 38.2% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.03% ( -0.06) | 74.96% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |