Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Genoa
In his 300th Serie A match as a manager, Simone Inzaghi should secure his 179th win: relentless Inter have momentum on their side, while Genoa are a lesser force away from home.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.83% . A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 8.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.73% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.99%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.87%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result Inter Milan Draw Genoa 73.83% ( -0.56) 17.88% ( 0.39) 8.3% ( 0.17)
Both teams to score 36.62% ( -0.4)
49.08% ( -1.03) 50.92% ( 1.03)
27.2% ( -0.91) 72.79% ( 0.91)
87.71% ( -0.45) 12.29% ( 0.45)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 61.95% ( -0.95) 38.05% ( 0.95)
41.75% ( -0.24) 58.25% ( 0.24)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 10.27% ( -0.13) 89.73% ( 0.13)
Inter Milan 73.81%
Genoa 8.3%
Draw 17.88%
Inter Milan Draw Genoa 2-0 @ 15.73% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 15% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.45% Total : 73.81% 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.88% 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 8.3%
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Genoa
170
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 23:02:04
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