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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Genoa logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Genoa

Ngonge (90')
Skiri Oestigaard (26'), Kvaratskhelia (42'), Di Lorenzo (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Frendrup (47')
Vasquez (50'), Vitinha (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Atalanta
Sunday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Genoa

Short of a cutting edge, Napoli simply cannot compile a good run of results and are often left frustrated at Stadio Maradona. Having proven their mettle since promotion, Genoa are well-placed to take advantage, so the Grifone may return north with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Genoa has a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Genoa win it is 0-1 (6.59%).

Result
NapoliDrawGenoa
56.05% (0.799 0.8) 23.81% (-0.204 -0.2) 20.14% (-0.597 -0.6)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (0.093000000000004 0.09)50.85% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (0.081 0.08)72.73% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (0.33 0.33)17.98% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (0.565 0.57)48.83% (-0.567 -0.57)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (-0.575 -0.58)39.7% (0.575 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (-0.535 -0.54)76.37% (0.533 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 56.03%
    Genoa 20.14%
    Draw 23.8%
NapoliDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 56.03%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Napoli vs Genoa

Napoli
61.1%
Draw
35.2%
Genoa
3.7%
54
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Genoa
2-2
Napoli
Bani (40'), Retegui (56')
De Winter (32'), Retegui (33'), Badelj (75')
Raspadori (76'), Politano (84')
Elmas (1'), Cajuste (78')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Napoli
3-0
Genoa
Osimhen (32'), Insigne (65' pen.), Lobotka (81')
Lobotka (87')

Galdames (38')
Aug 29, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Genoa
1-2
Napoli
Cambiaso (69')
Ekuban (11'), Criscito (51')
Fabian (39'), Petagna (84')
Di Lorenzo (45'), Politano (49'), Rui (90')
Feb 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Genoa
2-1
Napoli
Pandev (11', 26')
Badelj (29'), Czyborra (57')
Politano (79')
Lozano (74'), Rui (90+4')
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
6-0
Genoa
Lozano (10', 65'), Zielinski (46'), Mertens (57'), Elmas (69'), Politano (72')
Osimhen (90+1')

Destro (90'), Masiello (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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