Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Monza |
41.81% ( 0.05) | 27.31% ( 0.02) | 30.87% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% ( -0.12) | 56.48% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.51% ( -0.1) | 77.48% ( 0.09) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( -0.03) | 26.64% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.12% ( -0.04) | 61.88% ( 0.04) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.57% ( -0.11) | 33.42% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.94% ( -0.12) | 70.05% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |