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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Monza

Genoa
2 - 3
Monza

Gudmundsson (52'), Vitinha (68')
Sabelli (17')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pessina (8'), Mota (18'), Maldini (79')
Djuric (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Genoa
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-0 Monza

Among teams in the bottom half of Serie A, Genoa (33) and Monza (34) have conceded the fewest goals so far this season - and both are well-drilled by up-and-coming coaches. It could be tight and tactical, then, with only one goal separating the sides at full-time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawMonza
41.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 27.31% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 30.87% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (-0.117 -0.12)56.48% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)77.48% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.64% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)61.88% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)33.42% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-0.124 -0.12)70.05% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 41.81%
    Monza 30.87%
    Draw 27.31%
GenoaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.79% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.87%

How you voted: Genoa vs Monza

Genoa
56.0%
Draw
28.6%
Monza
15.4%
91
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Monza
1-0
Genoa
Mota (83')
Kiriakopoulos (65')

Vasquez (34'), Frendrup (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
2Fiorentina1274125101525
3Lazio1281325141125
4Napoli118121881025
5Juventus126602171424
6Inter Milan1173125131224
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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